Foreign PolicyForeign Policy

War over Taiwan is nowhere near inevitable

By Michael Mazza

06 Oct 2022 · 6 min read

Editor's Note

Could a new settlement be agreed upon? In this opinion piece, we hear that war is not the only future option for China, the US and Taiwan.

When U.S. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi led a congressional visit to Taiwan on Aug. 2, China indulged in a festival of furor. With impassioned rhetoric, economic warfare, and antagonistic military exercises, China aimed, in part, to stoke fears that war might be just around the corner. Tread carefully, Beijing intimated, for one more misstep could lead to disaster.

But does peace in the Taiwan Strait truly stand on a knife’s edge?

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