The Washington PostThe Washington Post

New models predict at least 1 million deaths in China amid covid surge

By Sammy Westfall

18 Dec 2022 · 4 min read

Editor's Note

China is caught between a rock and a hard place. It loosened draconian covid policies, but forecasters are now predicting one million additional fatalities. The Washington Post explains.

A fast-spreading covid-19 outbreak in China has researchers predicting a surge in virus-related deaths next year, with several analyses forecasting more than 1 million fatalities in a country that until now has largely kept the coronavirus in check.

Earlier this month, China dramatically loosened its strict "zero covid" policies following a wave of protests in towns and cities where residents were fed up with years of stringent lockdowns, mass testing and centralized quarantines. The demonstrations marked the most significant show of public dissent in China in years.

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