Every year brings with it alarming reports of permafrost thawing and its associated perils.
Permafrost is the layer of soil that’s present under the surface that has remained frozen for more than two years and is found mainly in the polar regions.
It covers nine million square miles of the Earth’s surface or a quarter of the landmass of the Northern Hemisphere. Two-thirds of Russia sits on permafrost.
As permafrost has been accumulating over centuries in some polar regions, it contains within it organic matter including dead animals and plants.
Rising temperatures, wildfires, deforestation have led to the ice under the surface melting, causing permafrost to thaw. Since the 1980s permafrost has been warming between 0.3C to 1C.
According to scientific models, permafrost contains 1.5 trillion tons of carbon. To put that in perspective, that’s twice as much carbon present in Earth’s atmosphere.
When permafrost thaws, microbes feast on the defrosting biomass. This releases carbon and methane which leads to warmer temperatures leading to further thawing. It creates a feedback loop.
In areas where there’s an infrastructure built atop permafrost, its thawing can lead to roads sinking, building foundations cracking. And it happens gradually unlike an earthquake.
According to the latest study, 120,000 buildings, 40,000 km of roads and 9,500 km of pipelines could be at risk in Canada and Russia.
Thawing permafrost also releases microbes that were buried centuries ago back into the atmosphere. Could that lead to future pandemics? The debate is wide open on that.
While technology is being used to ensure thawing of permafrost is limited, it hasn’t led to any optimistic case study.
In this reading, we take a look at how thawing permafrost could prove to be a huge climate emergency for people living in the polar regions in particular and for the larger world in general.
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